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6. What Comes Next? Scenarios and Possibilities

1. Renewed Diplomacy

One potential path is the resumption of high‑level talks between the United States and North Korea — perhaps involving another summit between Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un. Trump himself has indicated openness to such a meeting.

2. Continued Military Posturing

Alternatively, if Pyongyang continues to perceive U.S. and allied military drills as existential threats, the cycle of missile tests and rhetoric could persist, placing immense strain on strategic stability in Northeast Asia.

3. Regional Arms Development

Escalation could drive South Korea and Japan toward greater military self‑sufficiency, including considerations of nuclear capability — a dynamic that would alter decades of non‑proliferation policy.

4. Broader U.S.–China–Russia Strategic Interplay

North Korea’s strategic posture is also influenced by its relationships with China and Russia, both of which have strategic interests that intersect with U.S. policy in the region. How these major powers respond will shape long‑term outcomes.